Do Most NFL Games Go Over Or Under

As a fan of the NFL, one of the most common questions I hear is: do most NFL games go over or under? While the answer may vary from season to season, there is a strong case to be made for betting on the under.

First and foremost, the NFL is a defensive-minded league. While there are certainly some high-scoring games throughout the season, the majority of NFL games are won with strong defense. Teams that can control the line of scrimmage and limit their opponents' scoring opportunities are often the most successful. This defensive focus is reflected in the over/under lines set by sportsbooks.

In most cases, the over/under line is set lower than the total points scored in the game. This means that betting on the under is often the safer bet, as it requires fewer points to be scored for the bet to be successful.

Furthermore, NFL teams are often more conservative in their offensive approach than teams in other sports. In football, possession is key, and teams will often prioritize ball control over high-scoring plays. This means that there are fewer big plays and more time-consuming drives, which can limit the total number of points scored in a game.

Finally, weather can also play a significant role in NFL games. Cold, windy, or rainy conditions can make it difficult for offenses to move the ball and score points. In these conditions, the under is often the smarter bet, as the weather can limit the total number of points scored in the game.

Of course, there are always exceptions to these trends. There will be high-scoring games, offensive shootouts, and surprise upsets throughout the season. However, when looking at the overall trends and tendencies of the NFL, there is a strong case to be made for betting on the under.